What are Models , Variables and Public %

The Big Three are the three core tools used in handicapping every sport:

Models — My own generated ratings for all sports. Not pulled from public sources. You will find these are among the sharpest in the business.

Variables — My basket of situational factors that have historically produced positive expected value when they occur. Variables are a handicapper’s most guarded possession. Years of development sit behind what appears in your daily breakdown.

% Public — The public betting percentage. This is the cornerstone of handicapping sports. It provides the basic structure for identifying value and is the foundation everything else is built on.

These three are sent out daily on all games for that day, with the exception of college hoops — for CBB, breakdowns cover ranked team matchups only.