12:15 Update:
2 top ten teams coming up at 12:30
Fresno St
#1 Alabama
Betting is 64% on the road dog with the line staying steady at -42.5. When I see the public betting on the road dog its the favorite or pass. The public typically bets favorites. So since the public is wrong much more often than they are right when they bet on a dog it is a red flag to me
Models favor Alabama. Variables are neutral and public betting favors Alabama. Without variables, however, I am passing on the game. If you are considering Fresno you might want to think again.
Pitt
#4 Penn State
Betting is 70% on the home favorite with the line moving from -19 to -20+100. Models are neutral. Variables are neutral Public betting slightly favors Pitt. This game is a clear cut pass for me.
Rick
Friday we went 2-1 in MLB and 0-1 in College Football.
In MLB all were overnights with Milw +127 winning 2-0 and Seattle -119 winning 4-3. We lost with Pitt +159 1-4.
We had Ohio +4.5 in College football. I sent that out last Monday as a 1 unit play. We had the line move correct so we got the consolation prize losing the game 21-44.
Today so far I have sent out 2 plays.
It’s going to a very busy day for me today so I am cutting this very short.
I will send out to subscribers my NFL contest picks after 11.
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping PIcks
