9:40 update
-3 still at many books …at -3 its a complete pass for me.
9:30 Update
Oh yes almost forgot…KC is a top 5 hilton pick…so New England is part of the top 5 fade system
A good day yesterday for the Hilton picks. I went 3-2 the hard way….1-2 in the afternoon and 2-0 in the afternoon and evening game. My 3 winners were dogs that all three won the game outright including tampa bay that was 0-3 coming into the game and a 7 pt dog!
My 1 unit play on Tenn went down and never had a chance while 1/2 unit play on Tampa was a winner. Hilton top five fades went 3-1 with KC left for tonight to fade.
So after week 4 in the Hilton Contest I stand at 13-7 hitting 65%. Solid so far:)
Tonight in the NFL
New England
KC
New england has 59% of the betting on them with the line moving contrary to the action from -3.5 to -2.5-120. That is a huge move.
Looking at the game however my models are all in agreement that New England is undervalued. The public betting does not support either side at these levels and variables are completely absent on the game. For me tonight at -2.5 it would be New England or pass. I am passing.
Good Luck Today
RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade
