Sunday we had 4 plays, 2 in the NFL and 2 overnights in MLB.
We got off to a good start in the NFL on Sunday going 2-0 on plays and 3-1 on NFL Supercontest picks. Leaving Minn -3 to see if I start the contest 4-1 or 3-2.
The NFL plays were both 1/2 unit plays:
Jacksonville +5 won easily 29-7 while the Bears slipped in covering 17-26.
In MLB we lost with Minn +115 3-11 and Seattle -115 3-5.
Today so far I have sent out 2 plays.
I have gotten a lot of good feedback on my NFL breakdown of each game. I received a few emails for some samples of what I give out.
Here are the two on my NFL plays from yesterday:
81% Atlanta -7+104 -6.5-107
19% Chicago
Models Chicago
Variables Chicago
Public % Chicago
Almost as good as it gets. The only negative is its the first game of the season. Some of the best variables are starting in game 2 to game 3. You also have close to a reverse line move off 7. I will not call it that as it’s not a full 1/2 pt.
So a 1/2 unit play on Chicago. Might well have been a full unit game 2 or 3.
24% Jacksonville
76 % Houston -4.5-102 -5-103
Models Jacksonville
Variable Jacksonville
Public Jacksonville
Same comment as Chicago. The difference here is no reverse line move and to the positive side its a road dog. Road dogs tend to have greater EV for NFL plays.
So a 1/2 Unit play on Jacksonville
I send these out via email to subscribers only. And I do it for every NFL game.
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There are two NFL games tonight. I will send out any plays along with a breakdown of each game about an hour before game time.
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
